Roth: Doing the whole region a favor by pushing down the franc.
To drive home its point, the SNB simultaneously cut its benchmark interest rate to 0.25% and announced a policy of quantitative easing to counter deflationary pressures. It cited rapid deterioration in the economy and the risk of negative inflation over the next three years. The SNB that day stepped out of the shadow of the European Central Bank.
Roth, a 30-year veteran of the SNB, only two weeks earlier announced his intention to retire at the end of this year. No mention was made of the trouble in the Swiss banking system, including massive losses at UBS and an investigation by US prosecutors into whether the Swiss bank helped thousands of Americans avoid paying taxes.
Switzerland has agreed to ease its bank-secrecy laws to cooperate with foreign authorities on a case-by-case basis. On March 13 the Swiss government agreed to abide by standards on information-sharing between countries that have been developed by the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development to eliminate tax havens.
Meanwhile, the SNB’s currency-intervention gambit was immediately successful, with the Swiss franc plunging 8% in a single day. The depreciation of the franc was a blessing for the currencies of Central and Eastern Europe, such as Hungary, where franc-linked loans are common. The cyclical downturn in the region is deepening, and the SNB may just have done its neighbors—as well as itself—a favor.